Davao City Mayor Sara Duterte-Carpio was the top choice for president and vice president in the noncommissioned survey conducted by Octa Research, the same group that tracks the country’s Covid-19 cases.
The group’s Tugon Ng Masa (Pulse of the Masses) survey conducted from January 26 to February 1, showed the mayor, the daughter of President Rodrigo Duterte, leading the poll for president at 22 percent, with the highest support coming from Mindanao at 48 percent and from socioeconomic class D at 22 percent and class E at 24 percent
She was followed by Sen. Mary Grace Poe at 13 percent; Sen. Emmanuel Pacquiao and former senator Ferdinand Marcos Jr., both at 12 percent; Manila Mayor Francisco Domagoso, 11 percent; Sen. Christopher Lawrence “Bong” Go, 6 percent; Vice President Maria Leonor Robredo, 5 percent; and Senate President Vicente Sotto 3rd and Taguig-Pateros Rep. Alan Peter Cayetano, 3 percent.
Marcos was the most preferred presidential candidate in the National Capital Region at 18 percent and in socioeconomic class ABC at 22 percent.
In the vice presidential survey, Duterte-Carpio and Domagoso were in a statistical tie at 14 and 11 percent, respectively, followed by Pacquiao, Poe, Cayetano, Sotto, Marcos, Go and Sorsogon Gov. Francis Escudero.
Support for Duterte-Carpio was high in Mindanao at 23 percent. She was also the top choice among all socioeconomic classes, while Domagoso was the top choice in Metro Manila at 15 percent.
Re-electionist and returning senators comprise the top 15 senatorial candidates led by Pacquiao, Escudero, Cayetano, broadcaster Erwin Tulfo, Antique Rep. Loren Legarda, Domagoso, Sen. Panfilo Lacson, Marcos, Sen. Juan Miguel Zubiri, former senators Jose “Jinggoy” Estrada and JV Ejercito, Sen. Sherwin Gatchalian, former Quezon City mayor Herbert Bautista, and former senator Paolo Benigno Aquino 4th.
Pacquiao had a high preference rate in all regions and socioeconomic classes.
Among President Duterte’s Cabinet members, only Public Works and Highways Secretary Mark Villar had a statistical chance of making it to the top 12, followed by Palace spokesman Harry Roque Jr., Health Secretary Francisco Duque 3rd, Communications Secretary Martin Andanar, Cabinet Secretary Karlo Alexei Nograles, Interior Secretary Eduardo Año, Labor Secretary Silvestre Bello 3rd, Chief Presidential Legal Counsel Salvador Panelo, Transportation Secretary Arthur Tugade and Tourism Secretary Bernadette Romulo-Puyat, who are all outside the magic 12.
The face-to-face survey polled 1,200 respondents aged 18 and above across the country using multistage probability sampling. It has a sampling error of plus-minus 3 percent and a confidence level of 95 percent.
Metro Manila had 300 urban respondents, followed by Balance Luzon at 135 urban and 165 rural respondents, the Visayas at 110 urban and 190 rural respondents, and Mindanao with 70 urban and 230 rural respondents.